Monday, July 8, 2013

Earnings Preview

Second quarter earnings season kicks off  today, with Alcoa being the first major company to report its earnings, as it traditionally is each quarter. According to research compiled by S&P Capital IQ, revenues for the S&P 500 are expected to be down slightly from a year ago, with an overall decrease of 0.3 percent.

First quarter revenue for the S&P 500 had been up 1.1 percent, and the fourth quarter of 2012 had shown  revenue growth of 4.7 percent. So this quarter's decline, if the forecasts are accurate, would be a clear step down from recent quarters.

There is a bright side to this though: S&P Capital IQ does predict that earnings per share this quarter for the S&P 500 are likely to be up by 2.9 percent over the year-earlier period. Earnings growth was 2.1 percent in the first quarter, so we could  very well exceed that, which would be good for stock prices.

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