Tuesday, December 4, 2018

Santa Rally on Tap?

Stocks kicked off the first trading day of December with gusto, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones industrial average all up by more than 1 percent. That sparked hopes for a so-called Santa rally: the traditional runup in the stock market from the last week of December through the first two trading days in January.

Since 1950, no other month has recorded a higher average return or has finished higher as often as December. Over the last 100 years, the Dow has averaged a gain of 1.55 percent in December, with gains 74 percent of the time.

It's even better the last two weeks of the year. For the S&P, the days during the Santa rally have gained 1.35 percent on average, with only one other seven-day period of the entire year sporting a better return. The seven days of Santa have been higher 77.6 percent of the time, making it the seven days of the year that are most likely to be higher

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